A | 骑士，又有动作了。 来自名记Shams的报道，骑士与黄蜂达成了一笔极限1换1交易：——骑士送出施罗德和部分现金——黄蜂送出特雷曼 先说下，施罗德被交易真不意外。
B | Prospects of a cold and bleak winter characterized by skyrocketing food and energy prices along with forecasts of a looming recession on the European continent have left officials fearful that the anti-Russia consensus could disintegrate, CNN reported.,As the cost of living crisis shows no signs of easing its relentless grip, multiple Western officials and diplomats, speaking on condition of anonymity, have indicated that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky might find it increasingly hard to count on the attention of European leaders.,Moscow launched its special military operation to demilitarize and de-Nazify Ukraine on February 24, responding to calls for help from the breakaway republics of Donetsk and Lugansk amid ceaseless attacks by the Kiev regime. The move triggered a swathe of sweeping sanctions against Moscow imposed by the US and its allies, including agreements targeting Russian energy.,Furthermore, the transatlantic alliance has been ramping up military support for Ukraine, pumping weapons to prop up the Kiev regime – something Moscow has repeatedly warned only serves to prolong the crisis.,The restrictive measures, however, have resulted in Western countries’ economies taking a beating, triggering sky-high inflation and driving energy prices to record numbers.,Opinion & Analysis'The Last Laugh': EU Sanctions on Russia Backfiring as Moscow Winning 'Energy War,' Analysts Say11 August, 18:52 GMT,‘Winter Fuel Crisis’,In the aftermath of the operation, following in the footsteps of Washington and London, the EU pledged to end its dependence on Russian fossil fuels before 2030. In April, Brussels announced its intention to slash its demand for Russian natural gas by two-thirds by the end of 2022.,Accordingly, in Germany there is speculation about a possible energy collapse in the winter due to a halt in Russian gas supplies, with Economy Minister Robert Habeck urging citizens to reduce electricity consumption.,Germany’s capital Berlin has turned off the lights illuminating monuments in order to save electricity.,British households are bracing themselves for annual energy bills of up to £4,200 next January, more than three times the amount paid at the beginning of 2022. French shops are facing stiff fines unless they keep their doors shut while the air conditioning is on.,As Russia accounted for about 55% of Europe's total gas imports in 2021, the winter fuel crisis is uppermost in European officials and diplomats’ minds.,This is especially the case amid news that gas futures prices in Europe exceeded $3,000 per thousand cubic meters first time since March 8 at the opening of trading on August 22, according to data from the London-based ICE exchange.,As for oil, almost half of Russian exports of crude go to Europe, with the EU reportedly importing 2.2 million barrels of crude oil per day in 2021.,Accordingly, the costs of continuing to shower military, financial, and economic support upon Kiev authorities are starting to hit home with increasing force, Keir Giles, a senior consulting fellow at the think tank Chatham House told CNN.,Energy Crisis in EuropeGermany Should Immediately Launch Nord Stream 2, Bundestag Vice Speaker Says19 August, 08:42 GMT,That is why, in his virtual address to the G7 Summit, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky asked to "intensify sanctions" on Russia so the crisis ends before winter.,"That may well be why Zelensky said he wanted the war over before Christmas, because the real issues will be getting the West to stick to its promises in the long run," Giles said.,EU countries reached a deal to reduce domestic gas demand in their respective nations by 15% by March 2023. The baseline agreement suggests voluntary measures to reduce gas consumption, but also contains a trigger mechanism that will be activated if the voluntary measures do not yield the desired results and do not help save enough fuel.,Referring to the deal, opposed at the time by Hungary as "unenforceable," "unjustifiable," and outright "harmful," a senior European diplomat was cited as saying:,"Within the European Union, it will be very difficult and we must try to stick to our promise to cut off Russia when it comes to any profits from gas and other sources.",The deal has been criticized for being voluntary, with some officials reportedly fearing that when things reach a critical point, not all EU countries will be prepared to accept the self-inflicted woes.,Donbass. Genocide. 2014-2022Which Western Countries Armed Ukraine19 August, 08:06 GMT,‘No Clear End Point’,The Western strategy of pumping the Kiev regime with arms is also reportedly being increasingly questioned by officials. They are starting to see it as a short-term solution offering no clear end point, the report stated.,"At the start... It was politically quite easy to rally behind Ukraine and make the case for donating weapons and cash," a NATO source was cited as saying.,Germany shed decades of "pacifist" policies since the Second World War and boosted its own defense spending while also sending weapons to Ukraine. Following criticism of “dithering” and holding back arms, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz said in June his country would send heavy weapons, such as the IRIS-T anti-aircraft systems. Subsequently announced plans on the federal government website mentioned 20 rocket launchers with a caliber of 70mm, as well as 2,000 rockets.,France, when promising to deliver Caesar howitzers, Milan anti-tank missiles, and thousands of shells to Kiev, underscored it was “always with the red line that we will not become parties to the conflict.”,Russia's Special Operation in Ukraine‘They’ve Bankrupted Themselves’: Europe Gutted Own Security to Funnel Kiev Weapons, Expert Says18 August, 23:53 GMT,The UK pledged scores of artillery guns, hundreds of drones, and hundreds more anti-tank weapons to Ukraine. But European countries have been reducing their military commitments for Ukraine since April, Politico reported, citing the Ukraine Support Tracker of the Kiel Institute for the World Economy.,“Despite the war entering a critical phase, new aid initiatives have dried up,” the head of the team in charge of the Ukraine Support Tracker, Christoph Trebesch, was cited as saying.,According to the Tracker, Germany, France, and Italy have not made any significant new pledges to Kiev.,Furthermore, financial assistance to Ukraine from Western countries "dried up" in July, with Kiev receiving only 1.5 billion euros ($1.512 billion) last month. This coincided with Ukraine's Bureau of Economic Security admitting in early July that it had identified cases of the sale of humanitarian aid and military goods supplied by Western countries to Ukraine.,"Over time, the types of weapons we are sending have got more complicated, as has the training required to use them effectively. The good news is, these arms are helping the Ukrainians hold out. The bad news is, the longer the war goes on, the shorter on supply these weapons will be, making them harder to give up," an official told CNN.,"War fatigue" has also been cited by NATO officials.,"Back in February, it was easy to jump on the anti-Putin bandwagon. Now the war is in the boring strategic stage. There are fewer daily gains and losses and there are fewer photo opportunities," a NATO diplomat stated.,Officials weighed in on how corrosion could fray the anti-Russia coalition, doubting that countries might simply withdraw their support. However, the "parameters" of what outcome they support may ostensibly be reviewed.,Notably, some Western European countries such as Germany and France have publicly underscored the need for dialogue between the West and Moscow.,"Do we all still have the same view of the end game? Is it just getting back to the borders of before Russia invaded? Or is it back to pre-2014, before Russia annexed Crimea? And will we deal with Putin after the war or will he need to stand down. These are the long-term questions we need to be asking, but are not. It's better not to ask these questions right now," a European diplomat was cited as saying.,With the cost of living crunch forcing people across the continent to choose between heating their homes and eating, it will become more difficult for political leaders to justify spending funds and energy supporting a country they do not share a frontier with. Particularly as more and more countries do not perceive Moscow as the sole cause of such an existential crisis, the report stated.,There are believed to be fears among multiple Western officials that at some point, political leaders might opt to broker a peace deal and "undercut" the end game that Kiev has been seeking.,"There is growing concern in some quarters that if Ukraine appears to be losing ground to Russia this may accelerate calls for a negotiated settlement," Theresa Fallon, director at the Center for Russia Europe Asia Studies, told CNN, adding that once people sense that Kiev is on the losing side, “they may start to ask why do we continue to supply costly weapons to Ukraine at a time of economic stress.”,Ahead of political challenges, such as an election in Italy on September 25, the arrival of a new prime minister in the UK, and November midterm elections in the US, domestic policies may ultimately begin to dominate the agenda, according to European officials.。 围绕在施罗德身上的交易传言已经持续了一整个休赛期，之所以迟迟没有达成，主要是因为他的合同太大，表现已经无法匹配身价。 具体来说，施罗德去年夏天与国王签下一份3年4500万合同，目前这份合同还剩下两年1480万、1551万（保障部分435万），他的表现则是： ——国王期间，40场比赛，26场替补，场均上场26.4分钟，得到12.8分3.1篮板5.3助攻，三项命中率40.8%/34.3%/82.0%，真实命中率53.1% ——骑士期间，30场比赛，27场替补，场均上场21.4分钟，得到8.2分2.3篮板4.3助攻，三项命中率40.1%/29.0%/86.1%，真实命中率51.5% 需要说的是，季后赛施罗德的上场时间还降低到了15.9分钟，且场均只能等到5.5分，投篮命中率38.1%，三分命中率33.3%，真实命中率49.7%。 FIBA的施罗德可能是个巨星，但是在NBA，他可能连首发级别都不算，至少从上赛季来看，施罗德进攻低效、需要持球、防守缺乏天赋的缺点并没有改变。 骑士从节省薪资、腾出空间引援的角度出发，交易施罗德几乎只是时间问题，最终这笔交易让骑士省下了680万美元，在还未续约哈登的情况下，骑士现在距离第一土豪线还有3200万空间、距离第二土豪线还有4400万空间。 回到这笔交易，既然是送走负资产，而且还没有搭上选秀权，那么得到的筹码也不会太好，特雷曼正是这样的一个球员。
C | 特雷曼是2021届的首轮18顺位，雷霆培养了两年多之后送至黄蜂（当时的海沃德交易），2024-25赛季，他曾场均拿到14.4分2.9篮板3.0助攻。 然而因为腰椎间盘突出，该赛季他一共只打了13场比赛，也是因此，他最终只得到了一份3年2400万续约（最后一年球队选项） 当时看，这笔续约并不差，但从上赛季来看，这份合同也已经出现了溢价，上赛季复出之后的特雷曼角色定位、表现都大幅下滑：53场比赛，52场替补，场均上场12.6分钟，得到5.5分1.7篮板1.6助攻，投篮命中率36.0%，三分命中率32.3%，真实命中率46.2%。 施罗德虽差，但也比特雷曼强，后者的加盟很难给骑士带来什么实质性帮助，有可能被骑士继续交易，2027年的球队选项大概率也不会执行。 对于黄蜂，甩走特雷曼、得到施罗德让他们继续增强替补阵容，不过在今夏接连送走三球、布里奇斯两位核心之后，黄蜂下赛季大概率难出成绩——施罗德生涯初期效力于老鹰时，曾与现任黄蜂总裁杰夫彼得森及主教练查尔斯李共事，双方颇有渊源，这应该也是黄蜂达成交易的目的之一。 此外，黄蜂阵中可不只一个德国球员，今年的首轮14号秀施泰因巴赫、首轮18号秀小克里斯琴安德森也都是德国球员或者拥有德国国籍。
D | 值得一提的是，在这笔交易达成之后，施罗德将迎来自己生涯效力的第12支球队，距离追平伊斯梅尔史密斯的13队纪录只差1队。 以及，单单是过去两年时间，施罗德就效力了6支不同球队——这两年施罗德给人的感觉就是，他不是正在被交易，就是马上被交易。某种意义上，这也能说明施罗德的能力不足，但从另外一个角度来说，被交易这么多次依然没有淡出NBA，反而能说明他确实有点东西。 只说骑士，个人觉得，这笔交易不会是今夏他们操作的终点，不出意外的话，库明加或者沃特森其中之一要来（感觉很可能是沃特森）。
E | 骑士可以继续送走斯特鲁斯（年薪1660万）和特雷曼，然后腾出空间给沃特森和哈登，然后再利用底薪签下一个替补得分手（比如德罗赞？），这应该是最佳结果。 如果将这笔施罗德交易视为骑士后续操作的前奏，那么给个A+评价都不过分，当然即便是单看这笔交易，骑士没送走一个选秀权就把施罗德清理了，也是一笔A-以上的交易。 后续骑士会有什么样的操作、沃特森/库明加会不会加盟、施罗德未来能不能追平或者打破伊斯梅尔史密斯的纪录，我们再拭目以待吧。
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