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3个核心第一次同框合练！41岁詹姆斯已经开练，76人最难一课却不是战术_我的网站

一 |     3个人，一张训练照，41岁的詹姆斯已经提前开练。    WASHINGTON -- Fifty years after the 1973 Arab oil embargo, the current crisis in the Middle East has the potential to disrupt global oil supplies and push prices higher. But don't expect a repeat of the catastrophic price hikes and long lines at the gasoline pump, experts say.The Israel-Hamas war is “definitely not good news” for oil markets already stretched by cutbacks in oil production from Saudi Arabia and Russia and expected stronger demand from China, the head of the International Energy Agency said.Markets will remain volatile, and the conflict could push oil prices higher, "which is definitely bad news for inflation,” Fatih Birol, executive director of the Paris-based IEA, told The Associated Press. Developing countries that import oil and other fuels would be the most affected by higher prices, he said.International benchmark Brent crude traded above $91 a barrel on Thursday, up from $85 per barrel on Oct. 6, the day before Hamas attacked Israel, killing hundreds of civilians. Israel immediately launched airstrikes on Gaza, destroying entire neighborhoods and killing hundreds of Palestinian civilians in the days that have followed.Fluctuations since the attack pushed oil prices as high as $96. The price of oil depends on how much of it is getting used and how much is available. The latter is under threat because of the Hamas-Israel war, even though the Gaza Strip is not home to major crude production.One worry is that the fighting could lead to complications with Iran, home of some of the world’s largest oil reserves. Its crude production has been constrained by international sanctions, but oil is still flowing to China and other countries.“In order to get a sustained move (in prices), we really would need to see a supply disruption,” said Andrew Lipow, president at Lipow Oil Associates, a Houston-based consultant.Any damage to Iranian oil infrastructure from a military strike by Israel could send prices jumping globally. Even without that, a shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz that lies south of Iran could also shake the oil market because so much of the world’s supplies goes through the waterway.Until something like that happens, “the oil market is going to be like everyone else, monitoring the events in the Middle East,” Lipow said.One reason 1970s-style gas lines are unlikely: U.S. oil production is at an all-time high. The U.S. Energy Information Administration, an arm of the Energy Department, reported that American oil production in the first week of October hit 13.2 million barrels per day, passing the previous record set in 2020 by 100,000 barrels. Weekly domestic oil production has doubled from the first week in October 2012 to now.“The energy crisis of 1973 taught us many things, but in my mind, the most critical is that American energy strength is a tremendous source of security, prosperity and freedom around the world,'' said Mike Sommers, president and CEO of the American Petroleum Institute, the U.S. oil industry's top lobbying group.In a speech Wednesday marking the 50th anniversary of the 1973 oil embargo, Sommers said current U.S. production contrasts sharply with “America’s weakened position during the Arab oil embargo.'' He urged U.S. policymakers to heed what he called the lessons of 1973.“We cannot squander our strategic advantage and retreat on energy leadership,'' said Sommers, who has repeatedly criticized President Joe Biden's policies restricting restricting new oil leases as part of Biden's efforts to slow global climate change.“With an unstable world, war in Europe, war in the Middle East, and energy demand outstripping supply, energy security is on the line,'' Sommers said in a speech at the Hudson Institute, a Washington think tank.“American oil and gas are needed now more than ever,'' Sommers said. “Let’s take to heart the lessons we learned from 1973 and avoid sowing the seeds of the next energy crisis.'' For now, the crisis isn’t a repeat of 1973. Arab countries aren’t attacking Israel in unison, and OPEC+ nations have not moved to restrict supplies or boost prices beyond a few extra dollars.There are several wild cards in the energy market. One is the supply of Iranian oil. Eager to avoid a spike in gasoline prices and inflation, the U.S. has quietly tolerated some exports of Iranian oil to destinations such as China instead of going all in on sanctions aimed at Iran’s nuclear program. If Iran, which has warned Israel not to undertake a ground offensive, escalates the Gaza conflict — including a possible attack by Hezbollah militants in Lebanon supported by Iran — that might change the U.S. stance. “If the U.S. were then also to enforce the oil sanctions against Iran more strictly again, the oil market would tighten noticeably,” say commodities analysts at Commerzbank.Lawmakers from both parties have urged Biden to block Iranian oil sales, seeking to dry up one of the regime’s key sources of funding.Another wild card is how Saudi Arabia would respond if Iranian oil is restricted. Oil analysts say that while the Saudis may welcome recent oil price hikes, they don’t want a massive price spike that would fuel inflation, higher central bank interest rates and possible recession in oil-consuming countries that ultimately would limit or even kill off demand for oil. A third unknown is whether more oil will reach the market from Venezuela. The U.S. agreed Wednesday to temporarily suspend some sanctions on the country’s oil, gas and gold sectors after Venezuela’s government and a faction of its opposition formally agreed to work together on election reforms.Venezuelan production could increase in 2024. In the next six months, however, production could ramp up by some 200,000 barrels a day, a relative drop in the ocean, according to Sofia Guidi Di Sante, senior oil market analyst at Rystad Energy.Wyoming Sen. John Barrasso, the top Republican on the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee, slammed the U.S. action as a “gimmick” that appeases a brutal regime in Venezuela. “Joe Biden’s energy policies put America last,'' Barrasso said, citing the Democratic president's decisions to kill the controversial Keystone XL oil pipeline and sell off significant portions of the nation’s Strategic Petroleum Reserve, taking it to its lowest level since the 1980s. The Energy Department said Thursday it will seek offers to start refilling the oil reserve in December, with monthly solicitations expected through May 2024.“He eased sanctions on Iran, which funds terrorism across the Middle East. Now with Israel under attack, Biden is desperate for anything to mask the consequences of his reckless policies,'' Barrasso said. “America should never beg for oil from socialist dictators or terrorists.''The Treasury Department says it has targeted nearly 1,000 individuals and entities connected to terrorism and terrorist financing by the Iranian regime and its proxies, including Hamas, Hezbollah and other groups in the region. "We will continue to take action as appropriate to counter Iran’s destabilizing activity in the region and around the world,” Treasury said in a statement.____McHugh reported from Frankfurt, Germany. Choe reported from New York.。结果，76人球迷最先热议的不是谁状态多好，而是这支队到底谁先让。

二 | 纸面上越豪华，角色秩序越敏感。说白了，这支76人最难的一课，从来不是战术板上画什么，而是谁愿意把自己最舒服的东西先交出来。

三 |          据训练师Chris Johnson在社交平台晒出的照片，詹姆斯、杰伦·布朗和马克西已经在洛杉矶一起训练，这是布朗加盟、詹姆斯签约后，三位核心第一次公开同框。更值得注意的是，布朗此前也明确说过，新76人想赢球，靠的不只是天赋，牺牲、沟通和团结才是关键。新闻其实就这么简单：人已经开始合练，态度也摆出来了，可真正的问题也随之摆上桌面          很多球队夏天都喜欢晒训练照，但76人这张不一样。

四 | 因为这不是普通强队的磨合，这是四巨头气氛下的提前排位。詹姆斯不可能来费城只当一个安静看戏的老将，马克西也不可能突然变成只会折返跑的副手，布朗更不是从凯尔特人出来之后来费城练底角定点的。三个人都能拿球，都习惯在关键时刻决定回合，都有“这一球该由我处理”的本能。

五 | 问题就在这里：训练能一起练，比赛也能一起打，可到了最难的时候，谁先承认自己不是第一顺位？          事压事最难的地方，不是能力重叠，而是身份重叠。詹姆斯哪怕41岁，脑子、视野、持球判断力还在，他天然会把比赛往自己熟悉的节奏里带。马克西是这支球队过去几年最像未来的人，速度、爆发、得分感觉，都是费城球迷最舍不得压住的东西。布朗刚来，名气、履历、冠军身份都摆在那里，你很难让他一落地就接受“我排第四”的心理位置。三个人都不是角色球员心态，这才是真正的硬仗。

六 |          所以我一直觉得，76人现在最危险的，不是没有战术，而是战术太容易写，秩序太难建立。战术谁都会想：詹姆斯高位发牌，马克西借掩护冲击，布朗弱侧切入，恩比德低位策应。听着很美，对不对？可比赛一急，所有理论都会变成一句最现实的话：这一球到底谁说了算？如果没人提前把这个顺序磨出来，到了季后赛，战术板上的每一条路线都可能在一次迟疑里报废。         那那种时刻，最能暴露一支球队的真实关系。豪门球队最怕的不是输一场常规赛，而是每个人都觉得自己牺牲了最多。         而且76人现在的气氛，很容易把牺牲这件事变成一笔烂账。詹姆斯会觉得，我都41岁了，还降薪来冲最后一冠，我难道不是最大的让步？马克西会觉得，这本来就是我一点点打出来的球队，现在突然来了这么多大名字，为什么总是默认我要让？布朗也完全可能有自己的想法：我正值黄金年龄，刚带着冠军履历来到新队，凭什么一上来就从核心变配角？每个人都能说出自己的委屈，每个人也都能说出自己的道理。可冠军球队最残酷的地方就在于，道理不重要，顺序才重要。         别忘了，球迷现在看到的还只是一张训练照。照片能说明态度不错，说明大家愿意提早开始，说明新阵容至少没有互相躲着。但照片解决不了比赛里的本能反应。你练一万个空位投篮，也不如在关键时刻少抢一次球权更难。你跑一百组挡拆，也不如在全场都盯着你的时候接受“这一攻不属于你”更难。76人接下来最该练的，不是谁和谁的挡拆角度，而是谁在什么时刻必须退半步。         我脑子里甚至已经有那个画面了。         打值打热；布朗站在右侧45度，身体微微前倾，随时准备强突；恩比德在罚球线附近抬手要位。全场都知道这一球值一个赛季。这个时候，最可怕的不是对手防得多凶，而是76人自己有四个人都觉得这个回合应该由自己来收。

七 | 詹姆斯如果要掌控，马克西能不能不急？马克西如果继续冲，布朗能不能接受自己变成牵制点？恩比德如果伸手要球，外线三个人能不能立刻统一想法？到那一秒，所谓天赋、名气、履历、年龄，全都不如“有没有排好顺序”重要。         如果顺序排好了，76人的豪华才是真的豪华。詹姆斯负责读比赛，马克西负责撕开第一道口子，布朗负责最凶的一刀，恩比德负责最后的惩罚。

八 | 可如果顺序排不好，这套阵容越大牌，越容易谁都不服谁，谁都怕自己成了牺牲品。

九 | 到时候输球以后，最先炸的不会是战术，而是情绪。说白了，真正毁掉超级球队的，很多时候不是实力不够，而是每个人都想保住自己那份体面。         所以我的观点很明确：我看好这张同框合练照释放出来的认真态度，但我不认为76人现在最该被吹的是“提前开练”。这支球队最该解决的，是角色秩序。谁主控，谁终结，谁做第二发起点，谁在关键时刻甘愿当无球点，必须尽快形成默认答案。别把这件事拖到常规赛中段，更别拖到季后赛再临场表态。超级球队最大的成本，不是薪水，而是犹豫。谁都能做英雄的球队，往往最需要先学会谁暂时别当英雄。         如果最后一分钟只能保留一个人的绝对球权，你选詹姆斯、马克西，还是布朗？。

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Published on:10:10:20